Louis Varland
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 1" 205LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 15, #449, Minnesota Twins | Concordia University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 4 3 4.63 17 10 0 68 71 1.22
2024 0 6 7.61 16 7 0 49.2 49 1.69
2025 2 3 3.44 21 0 0 18.1 23 1.09
4 Seasons 7 14 5.28 59 22 0 162 164 1.35
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 17 4-3 4.63 68 71 1.22
2024 16 0-6 7.61 49.2 49 1.69
2025 21 2-3 3.44 18.1 23 1.09
4 Seasons 59 7-14 5.28 162 164 1.35
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 411 78 5 6.4 4.7 88.7 112.6 14.8 43.6 .271 .441 .329 .329 .389 41.0 19.8 5.7 3.81 4.56
2023 25 1091 194 21 10.8 7.4 91.0 113.6 12.1 32.0 .249 .469 .335 .328 .415 43.8 25.1 6.0 4.63 4.58
2024 26 901 169 15 8.9 6.3 90.6 114.0 11.1 41.4 .285 .466 .382 .354 .418 45.0 20.6 6.7 7.61 5.42
2025 27 270 47 7 14.9 9.5 92.4 112.2 8.7 25.5 .232 .415 .303 .298 .415 59.6 31.1 5.4 3.44 3.31
Player 2673 488 48 9.8 6.8 90.6 114.0 11.9 36.5 .262 .458 .347 .334 .412 45.3 23.4 6.1
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.6 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Varland relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(48.5%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(28.5%) ,
Changeup
(8.5%) ,
Sinker
(7.4%) ,
Slider
(7.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 38.5 61.5 26.9 28.2 6.4 42.3 32.1 25.6 21.8 12.8 3.8 20.5 19.2 21.8
2023 45.4 54.6 30.9 19.6 4.1 32.5 39.2 28.4 19.1 17.5 8.8 13.4 21.6 19.6
2024 43.2 56.8 27.2 27.2 2.4 32.0 38.5 29.6 19.5 17.8 5.9 12.4 20.7 23.7
2025 51.1 48.9 23.4 17.0 8.5 42.6 27.7 29.8 21.3 19.1 10.6 21.3 8.5 19.1
Player 44.1 55.9 28.3 23.4 4.3 34.8 36.7 28.5 19.9 17.0 7.2 15.0 19.7 21.3
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.8 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 5.1 23.1 28.2 32.1 5.1 6.4 4.7
2023 3.1 33.0 23.2 23.2 6.7 10.8 7.4
2024 3.6 27.2 20.7 32.0 7.7 8.9 6.3
2025 8.5 34.0 19.1 14.9 8.5 14.9 9.5
Player 4.1 29.5 22.7 26.8 7.0 9.8 6.8
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Sinker MIN R 20 97.1 16.0 -4.7 14.8ARM -0.5 13.2 -5.9 14.8ARM -0.6
2025 Changeup MIN R 23 91.2 26.7 -3.0 14.5ARM -0.3 6.4 -2.3 14.5ARM -0.3
2025 Slider MIN R 19 91.0 27.2 -2.6 3.9GLV 0.3 5.9 -4.2 3.9GLV -1.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 131 98.1 12.6 0.4 7.3ARM -0.9 16.0 0.0 7.3ARM -0.4
2025 Curveball MIN R 77 88.5 40.9 -1.5 3.3GLV -1.2 -5.9 -3.9 3.3GLV -6.3
2024 Slider MIN R 250 90.1 27.2 -4.0 3.7GLV 0.1 6.3 -4.7 3.7GLV -1.2
2024 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 383 96.3 13.6 0.4 6.9ARM -1.1 15.9 0.2 6.9ARM -0.7
2024 Curveball MIN R 140 84.6 45.2 -1.6 2.4GLV -4.1 -7.2 -2.8 2.4GLV -7.0
2024 Changeup MIN R 94 89.4 28.9 -1.1 13.6ARM -1.1 5.3 -0.4 13.6ARM -0.6
2024 Sinker MIN R 34 93.8 19.2 -3.8 14.6ARM -0.5 11.9 -4.7 14.6ARM -0.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 4.0 5 131 48.5 31 .179 .179 .197 19.2 25.8 25.8 .219 .328 .265 66.7
2025 Curveball 1.4 1 77 28.5 28 .154 .269 .200 41.0 50.0 33.3 .148 .249 .189 53.8
2025 Changeup -12.4 -3 23 8.5 6 .500 1.667 .875 20.0 16.7 50.0 .342 .964 .542 60.0
2025 Sinker -0.4 0 20 7.4 4 .250 .500 .313 18.2 0.0 0.0 .323 .524 .362 25.0
2025 Slider -5.9 -1 19 7.0 5 .750 1.000 .750 28.6 0.0 0.0 .613 1.170 .739 75.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 -3 383 42.5 93 .306 .553 .401 24.2 24.7 21.7 .257 .470 .339 38.1
2024 Slider -3.9 -10 250 27.7 75 .333 .603 .473 24.6 16.0 16.7 .293 .488 .391 46.2
2024 Curveball -1.4 -2 140 15.5 44 .293 .366 .307 28.8 29.5 20.6 .299 .432 .330 60.0
2024 Changeup 0.1 0 94 10.4 17 .294 .294 .318 10.5 5.9 5.9 .339 .413 .330 25.0
2024 Sinker -4.3 -1 34 3.8 8 .500 .875 .588 5.9 0.0 0.0 .316 .539 .367 75.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 23 91.2 85 16.4 1:30 2:30 -60
2025 Curveball 77 88.5 49 8.6 7:45 6:45 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 131 98.1 93 17.3 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Sinker 20 97.1 94 19.9 1:15 1:45 -30
2025 Slider 19 91.0 36 6.7 11:45 10:30 75
2024 Changeup 87 89.4 86 15.1 1:30 2:30 -60
2024 Curveball 139 84.6 55 9.6 7:30 6:30 60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 379 96.3 95 17.0 1:00 12:45 15
2024 Sinker 34 93.8 93 18.9 1:15 1:45 -30
2024 Slider 245 90.0 37 7.1 12:00 10:45 75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 105 411 -1 4 -3 -2 -1
2023 283 1,091 2 5 -5 -3 -1
2024 237 901 -3 -1 -8 -4 -16
2025 74 270 -2 6 -1 -1 2
Player 699 2,673 -4 14 -17 -4 -16
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 411 55.5 68.9 84.7 27.3 64.0 41.6 64.2 50.4 20.3 10.5 88.4
2023 1,091 55.3 73.5 80.6 29.5 54.2 44.0 70.0 53.8 25.9 9.3 77.5
2024 901 55.0 72.8 84.2 23.7 49.0 38.7 61.6 50.7 23.2 10.0 84.4
2025 270 57.4 68.4 88.7 35.7 36.6 38.9 68.9 54.4 25.9 9.3 92.0
Player 2,673 55.4 72.0 83.2 27.8 52.0 41.3 66.1 52.3 24.2 9.7 83.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.7 42.6 61.1 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 48 44 83
2023 33 42 13 5 72 42 10 6 17 62 83 47 59 73 46 90
2024 4 4 6 15 8 54 24 7 6 30 68 31 5 82 26 31 91
2025 68 67 46 31 85 31 5 5 1 90 83 54 92 95 15 21 91
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.3 4 3.8 0 1 2 2 50.0
2023 23.1 16 15.6 0 1 12 6 37.5
2024 24.0 12 9.4 3 2 9 2 16.7
2025 22.3 3 3.1 0 1 1 2 66.7
Player 23.5 35 31.9 3 5 24 12 34.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 3 4 5 3 4 4 4
2023 16 15 13 14 17 17 17 15 14 14 17 15 15 14 18 16 17 16 16 17 15 16 19 17 13 14 16 16 16 17 13
2024 12 9 7 7 10 8 11 9 7 8 11 8 10 8 11 11 11 8 11 11 10 10 11 11 8 10 8 9 10 10 8
2025 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 3
Player 35 30 25 28 34 32 35 30 27 29 35 30 32 28 36 34 34 31 35 36 32 33 37 36 27 31 32 32 33 35 28
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 93.8 1.5 95.3 0.8 96.1 1.9 98.0
Offspeed Velocity 83.8 2.1 85.9 3.5 89.4 1.8 91.2
Breaking Velocity 86.1 1.6 87.7 0.4 88.1 0.9 89.0
Exit Velocity 88.7 2.3 91.0 -0.4 90.6 1.8 92.4
Launch Angle 14.8 -2.7 12.1 -1.0 11.1 -2.4 8.7
Barrel % 6.4 4.4 10.8 -1.9 8.9 6.0 14.9
Hard Hit % 41.0 2.8 43.8 1.2 45.0 14.6 59.6
LA Sweet-Spot % 43.6 -11.6 32.0 9.4 41.4 -15.9 25.5
xBA .271 -0.022 .249 0.036 .285 -0.053 .232
BA .263 -0.011 .252 0.066 .318 -0.083 .235
xwOBA .329 -0.001 .328 0.026 .354 -0.056 .298
wOBA .329 0.006 .335 0.047 .382 -0.079 .303
xSLG .441 0.028 .469 -0.003 .466 -0.051 .415
SLG .455 0.037 .492 0.031 .523 -0.111 .412
K% 19.8 5.3 25.1 -4.5 20.6 10.5 31.1
BB% 5.7 0.3 6.0 0.7 6.7 -1.3 5.4
Swing % 50.4 3.4 53.8 -3.1 50.7 3.7 54.4
Whiff% 20.3 5.6 25.9 -2.7 23.2 2.7 25.9
In Zone % 55.5 -0.2 55.3 -0.3 55.0 2.4 57.4
Out of Zone % 44.5 0.2 44.7 0.3 45.0 -2.4 42.6
Out of Zone Swing % 27.3 2.2 29.5 -5.8 23.7 12.0 35.7
First Pitch Swing % 33.0 6.2 39.2 0.5 39.7 4.9 44.6
First Pitch Strike % 64.2 5.8 70.0 -8.4 61.6 7.3 68.9
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 105 .329 62 20 32.3 43 35 81.4
2023 Shades 283 .335 184 22 12.0 99 64 64.6
2024 Shades 237 .382 114 3 2.6 123 82 66.7
2025 Shades 74 .303 45 4 8.9 29 17 58.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 125 14.0 69.6% 0.0% 59 19.0 3.4% 1.7%
2023 290 12.8 86.6% 0.0% 141 17.1 9.9% 0.0%
2024 220 13.2 80.0% 0.0% 152 17.3 7.9% 1.3%
2025 64 15.9 29.7% 0.0% 31 18.1 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution



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