Nathaniel Lowe
1B | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 4" 220LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 13, #390, Tampa Bay Rays | Mississippi State
PA AB R H HR SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2023 724 623 89 163 17 1 .262 .360 .414 .774
2024 565 486 62 129 16 2 .265 .361 .401 .762
2025 210 189 20 42 8 1 .222 .295 .392 .687
7 Seasons 3,031 2,667 354 715 97 15 .268 .352 .430 .782
AVG HR SB OPS
2023 .262 17 1 .774
2024 .265 16 2 .762
2025 .222 8 1 .687
7 Seasons .268 97 15 .782
MLB Percentile Rankings
Hits Spray Chart

Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2019 23 700 104 11 10.6 6.5 91.3 114.3 13.0 37.5 .259 .455 .328 .330 .437 45.2 29.6 7.7
2020 24 295 39 6 15.4 7.9 88.9 114.8 7.1 41.0 .230 .377 .314 .300 .444 43.6 36.8 11.8
2021 25 2691 398 38 9.5 5.9 90.8 113.9 5.0 31.4 .236 .401 .337 .323 .381 45.5 25.2 12.5
2022 26 2525 446 44 9.9 6.8 90.2 113.0 8.2 34.1 .275 .459 .368 .344 .419 44.8 22.8 7.4
2023 27 3044 461 30 6.5 4.1 89.8 111.2 7.2 36.7 .263 .406 .340 .339 .386 41.6 22.8 12.8
2024 28 2356 365 21 5.8 3.7 88.9 111.8 7.7 32.6 .252 .380 .337 .328 .368 40.0 22.1 12.6
2025 29 881 128 10 7.8 4.9 90.4 111.7 10.9 33.6 .246 .411 .307 .323 .410 46.9 27.8 9.3
Player 12492 1941 160 8.2 5.3 90.1 114.8 7.6 34.2 .256 .414 .341 .332 .395 43.4 24.3 11.0
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.7 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Sweeper, Slurve, Other
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Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2019 41.3 58.7 22.1 27.9 8.7 31.7 40.4 27.9 18.3 19.2 3.8 13.5 21.2 24.0
2020 46.2 53.8 17.9 35.9 0.0 35.9 38.5 25.6 20.5 17.9 7.7 15.4 20.5 17.9
2021 54.5 45.5 23.4 20.9 1.3 24.9 39.9 35.2 17.6 25.1 11.8 7.3 14.8 23.4
2022 48.2 51.8 21.5 26.0 4.3 30.7 40.8 28.5 18.2 22.6 7.4 12.6 18.2 21.1
2023 48.2 51.8 20.2 26.7 5.0 28.4 41.9 29.7 18.7 23.9 5.6 9.8 18.0 24.1
2024 48.5 51.5 22.5 25.5 3.6 27.9 40.8 31.2 17.8 23.6 7.1 10.1 17.3 24.1
2025 43.8 56.3 22.7 26.6 7.0 32.8 34.4 32.8 16.4 18.8 8.6 16.4 15.6 24.2
Player 48.8 51.2 21.8 25.3 4.0 28.7 40.4 30.9 18.0 23.1 7.7 10.7 17.3 23.1
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.8 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 1.0 29.8 22.1 26.9 9.6 10.6 6.5
2020 5.1 33.3 10.3 28.2 7.7 15.4 7.9
2021 2.3 43.5 16.6 23.6 4.5 9.5 5.9
2022 3.4 35.0 18.4 28.0 5.2 9.9 6.8
2023 2.6 35.8 19.1 29.7 6.3 6.5 4.1
2024 3.0 37.5 20.0 26.3 6.8 5.8 3.7
2025 3.1 34.4 19.5 25.0 8.6 7.8 4.9
Player 2.8 37.0 18.6 26.9 6.1 8.2 5.3
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.5 -1 291 33.0 54 .277 .404 .334 26.2 31.5 18.5 .297 .457 .371 61.3
2025 Sinker 0.6 1 136 15.4 39 .324 .471 .413 14.8 10.3 10.5 .276 .417 .350 40.0
2025 Slider -1.1 -1 117 13.3 25 .125 .250 .180 28.8 28.0 14.9 .141 .218 .175 35.3
2025 Curveball 4.1 3 82 9.3 22 .250 .600 .384 39.4 54.5 31.6 .187 .487 .317 75.0
2025 Cutter -2.2 -2 70 7.9 17 .125 .375 .247 16.1 29.4 31.3 .212 .429 .298 27.3
2025 Sweeper 4.4 3 62 7.0 15 .286 .786 .457 20.7 40.0 18.2 .178 .438 .284 37.5
2025 Changeup -3.5 -2 62 7.0 17 .067 .067 .135 16.7 17.6 16.7 .321 .470 .382 50.0
2025 Split-Finger -0.5 0 49 5.6 12 .182 .182 .227 31.6 16.7 9.1 .311 .374 .337 33.3
2025 Slurve -6.1 -1 11 1.2 4 .000 .000 .175 25.0 25.0 25.0 .211 .275 .333 100.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 10 926 39.3 214 .293 .467 .410 20.3 22.0 16.0 .276 .433 .392 38.8
2024 Sinker 0.0 0 377 16.0 100 .297 .396 .351 11.4 15.0 16.1 .287 .384 .329 47.4
2024 Slider 1.9 5 254 10.8 66 .279 .459 .345 37.7 37.9 23.4 .202 .349 .270 44.4
2024 Cutter -1.6 -4 220 9.3 52 .234 .277 .271 20.6 19.2 21.3 .191 .267 .247 37.8
2024 Changeup -0.3 -1 206 8.7 50 .174 .304 .253 16.3 12.0 10.7 .271 .413 .320 29.3
2024 Curveball 0.5 1 169 7.2 35 .281 .438 .343 22.1 22.9 15.1 .228 .328 .278 41.7
2024 Sweeper -0.2 0 120 5.1 25 .227 .273 .250 19.0 40.0 18.5 .183 .221 .211 30.8
2024 Split-Finger 0.3 0 78 3.3 21 .158 .316 .214 25.0 19.0 13.3 .278 .484 .350 43.8
2024 Slurve -4.6 0 6 0.3 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .080 .080 .075 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Statcast Batting Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 170 700 0 -5 5 3 3
2020 74 295 -3 -3 1 1 -2
2021 640 2,691 -9 -17 24 13 11
2022 643 2,525 21 -16 15 11 31
2023 722 3,044 5 -30 23 16 14
2024 564 2,356 -16 -6 24 9 11
2025 205 880 2 -11 5 3 -1
Player 3,018 12,491 0 -87 99 0 67
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 700 46.9 67.1 82.3 25.1 50.5 43.8 23.7 44.7 27.2 5.7 72.5
2020 295 51.9 58.8 73.3 20.4 62.1 48.1 30.3 40.3 29.4 6.8 55.0
2021 2,691 50.1 66.4 81.8 22.9 60.9 44.7 29.4 44.7 23.5 7.4 73.0
2022 2,525 51.4 74.0 82.1 29.2 56.1 44.5 41.3 52.2 24.9 7.5 83.7
2023 3,044 49.5 67.2 85.9 20.8 58.6 43.6 28.0 43.8 20.6 7.2 78.6
2024 2,356 49.0 62.8 87.7 23.5 58.2 44.6 28.7 42.7 20.6 6.7 69.0
2025 881 53.1 62.2 84.2 24.9 51.5 42.3 26.3 44.7 24.4 6.1 74.1
Player 12,492 50.1 67.1 83.9 23.9 57.5 44.2 31.0 45.5 23.0 7.1 75.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.1 28.4 57.7 42.6 30.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Max EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
Speed OAA Arm
Strength
Bat
Speed
Squared-up
Rate
Swing
Length
2019 94 55
2020 97 52
2021 43 23 35 44 57 70 61 77 91 74 25 90 61 82 57 19 26
2022 80 88 82 74 70 83 68 73 89 75 41 41 47 51 45 2 20
2023 67 65 39 30 86 54 30 59 70 53 43 90 74 89 48 89 29 80 19 37
2024 63 58 34 26 88 34 28 46 80 48 45 97 72 82 24 91 22 73 29 48
2025 44 36 40 45 42 46 41 60 80 70 15 59 50 65 17 36 13 56 18 50
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 21.42 7 6.6 0 4 2 5 71.4
2020 21.03 4 3.1 1 1 3 1 25.0
2021 21.50 18 16.6 1 8 14 6 33.3
2022 21.37 27 23.9 3 10 21 9 33.3
2023 20.95 20 18.0 2 10 16 6 30.0
2024 20.88 16 13.3 3 5 10 6 37.5
2025 21.39 8 7.1 1 4 7 2 25.0
Player 21.22 100 88.5 12 42 73 35 35.0
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2019 7 7 5 8 7 6 7 6 7 5 7 9 6 6 7 5 5 5 7 7 6 8 9 7 5 6 7 6 7 7 7
2020 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 1 2 2 2 4 3 3 4 4 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 2
2021 18 21 12 13 16 15 17 19 12 12 15 18 16 16 16 17 17 18 19 16 19 18 20 20 15 16 17 17 19 15 16
2022 27 24 22 22 25 23 25 24 17 20 22 25 27 24 26 25 23 25 21 25 26 26 32 25 19 20 26 28 27 24 19
2023 20 13 15 18 19 19 21 14 17 14 19 20 16 15 22 21 18 14 20 22 15 22 25 24 12 13 17 20 19 20 15
2024 16 14 13 14 14 13 17 12 11 9 13 15 13 10 13 13 12 12 16 16 15 15 17 17 10 11 13 13 15 13 11
2025 8 9 5 9 7 7 5 6 4 5 5 10 8 9 7 6 8 6 8 9 8 6 9 8 7 6 7 5 9 8 6
Player 100 91 76 88 92 86 96 82 70 67 83 101 89 83 95 91 87 82 94 98 92 98 116 104 71 74 90 93 99 90 76
Note: xHR tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-   2025
Exit Velocity 91.3 -2.4 88.9 1.9 90.8 -0.6 90.2 -0.4 89.8 -0.9 88.9 1.5 90.4
Launch Angle 13.0 -5.9 7.1 -2.1 5.0 3.2 8.2 -1.0 7.2 0.5 7.7 3.2 10.9
Barrel % 10.6 4.8 15.4 -5.9 9.5 0.4 9.9 -3.4 6.5 -0.7 5.8 2.0 7.8
Hard Hit % 45.2 -1.6 43.6 1.9 45.5 -0.7 44.8 -3.2 41.6 -1.6 40.0 6.9 46.9
LA Sweet-Spot % 37.5 3.5 41.0 -9.6 31.4 2.7 34.1 2.6 36.7 -4.1 32.6 1.0 33.6
xBA .259 -0.029 .230 0.006 .236 0.039 .275 -0.012 .263 -0.011 .252 -0.006 .246
BA .263 -0.039 .224 0.040 .264 0.038 .302 -0.040 .262 0.003 .265 -0.042 .223
xwOBA .330 -0.030 .300 0.023 .323 0.021 .344 -0.005 .339 -0.011 .328 -0.005 .323
wOBA .328 -0.014 .314 0.023 .337 0.031 .368 -0.028 .340 -0.003 .337 -0.030 .307
xSLG .455 -0.078 .377 0.024 .401 0.058 .459 -0.053 .406 -0.026 .380 0.031 .411
SLG .454 -0.021 .433 -0.018 .415 0.077 .492 -0.078 .414 -0.013 .401 -0.004 .397
K% 29.6 7.2 36.8 -11.6 25.2 -2.4 22.8 0.0 22.8 -0.7 22.1 5.7 27.8
BB% 7.7 4.1 11.8 0.7 12.5 -5.1 7.4 5.4 12.8 -0.2 12.6 -3.3 9.3
Swing % 44.7 -4.4 40.3 4.4 44.7 7.5 52.2 -8.4 43.8 -1.1 42.7 2.0 44.7
Whiff% 27.2 2.2 29.4 -5.9 23.5 1.4 24.9 -4.3 20.6 0.0 20.6 3.8 24.4
In Zone % 46.9 5.0 51.9 -1.8 50.1 1.3 51.4 -1.9 49.5 -0.5 49.0 4.1 53.1
Out of Zone % 53.1 -5.0 48.1 1.8 49.9 -1.3 48.6 1.9 50.5 0.5 51.0 -4.1 46.9
Out of Zone Swing % 25.1 -4.7 20.4 2.5 22.9 6.3 29.2 -8.4 20.8 2.7 23.5 1.4 24.9
First Pitch Swing % 23.7 6.6 30.3 -0.9 29.4 11.9 41.3 -13.3 28.0 0.7 28.7 -2.4 26.3
First Pitch Strike % 55.0 2.9 57.9 1.1 59.0 3.7 62.7 -6.2 56.5 3.6 60.1 -0.1 60.0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

wOBA
SeasonAlignment TypeBat SidePAShifts/Shades%No Shift/ShadeShift/Shade
2019 Shifts L 170 78 45.9 .343 .306
2020 Shifts L 74 27 36.5 .313 .315
2021 Shifts L 640 176 27.5 .317 .389
2022 Shifts L 643 117 18.2 .380 .317
2023 Shades L 722 254 35.2 .337 .345
2024 Shades L 564 269 47.7 .338 .336
2025 Shades L 205 54 26.3 .308 .304
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 189 16.7 31.2% 1.6% 142 22.5 0.0% 7.0%
2020 83 16.9 27.7% 2.4% 59 22.7 0.0% 10.2%
2021 803 17.4 23.2% 2.4% 460 22.7 0.7% 8.3%
2022 637 17.4 22.9% 1.6% 405 22.5 0.7% 7.7%
2023 783 15.5 41.4% 0.5% 659 18.8 7.3% 0.5%
2024 640 15.5 43.9% 0.3% 490 18.3 6.9% 0.6%
2025 207 15.2 45.9% 0.0% 167 18.4 7.8% 0.0%
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Statcast Rankings


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