Joey Estes
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 190LBS | Age: 23
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 16, #487, Atlanta Braves | Paraclete HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 1 7.20 2 2 0 10 7 1.40
2024 7 9 5.01 25 24 0 127.2 92 1.23
2025 0 2 15.43 2 2 0 7 5 3.00
3 Seasons 7 12 5.66 29 28 0 144.2 104 1.33
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 2 0-1 7.20 10 7 1.40
2024 25 7-9 5.01 127.2 92 1.23
2025 2 0-2 15.43 7 5 3.00
3 Seasons 29 7-12 5.66 144.2 104 1.33
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 21 165 35 6 17.1 12.8 91.4 111.6 25.1 34.3 .281 .642 .414 .411 .458 45.7 14.9 4.3 7.20 7.82
2024 22 2027 414 40 9.7 7.4 89.5 113.6 25.4 37.2 .245 .453 .333 .324 .363 39.6 16.9 5.0 5.00 4.43
2025 23 146 30 5 16.7 11.9 89.2 109.5 24.4 50.0 .327 .629 .584 .444 .458 36.7 11.9 14.3 15.43 8.56
Player 2338 479 51 10.6 8.1 89.6 113.6 25.3 37.8 .252 .477 .356 .338 .376 39.9 16.5 5.5
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.7 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Estes relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(54.1%) ,
Slider
(16.4%) ,
Sweeper
(15.1%) ,
Sinker
(7.5%) ,
Changeup
(6.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 28.6 71.4 34.3 22.9 14.3 40.0 22.9 37.1 14.3 8.6 5.7 25.7 14.3 31.4
2024 24.9 75.1 35.0 25.8 14.3 41.5 30.9 27.5 14.5 7.2 3.1 27.1 23.7 24.4
2025 20.0 80.0 50.0 20.0 10.0 63.3 16.7 20.0 16.7 3.3 0.0 46.7 13.3 20.0
Player 24.8 75.2 35.9 25.3 14.0 42.8 29.4 27.8 14.6 7.1 3.1 28.2 22.3 24.6
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.8 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 2.9 20.0 37.1 17.1 5.7 17.1 12.8
2024 3.4 16.9 39.6 20.8 9.4 9.7 7.4
2025 3.3 13.3 40.0 23.3 3.3 16.7 11.9
Player 3.3 16.9 39.5 20.7 8.8 10.6 8.1
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Sweeper ATH R 22 76.9 41.8 -3.9 15.8GLV -0.2 4.9 -3.4 15.8GLV 1.8
2025 Slider ATH R 24 82.3 37.8 -1.7 6.0GLV -1.1 2.4 -0.7 6.0GLV 1.1
2025 Changeup ATH R 10 83.6 32.5 -0.9 13.5ARM -0.7 6.9 -2.8 13.5ARM -1.3
2025 Sinker ATH R 11 89.7 21.3 -4.1 14.5ARM -0.6 13.1 -5.7 14.5ARM -0.9
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATH R 79 90.7 17.5 -1.0 6.2ARM -1.0 15.9 0.0 6.2ARM -1.5
2024 Slider OAK R 276 81.7 40.6 0.7 5.6GLV -1.7 0.3 1.3 5.6GLV 0.7
2024 Sweeper OAK R 396 78.2 38.9 -4.6 15.5GLV 0.3 6.1 -4.5 15.5GLV 1.3
2024 Changeup OAK R 222 84.8 29.4 -2.5 14.6ARM 0.6 8.7 -3.8 14.6ARM 0.4
2024 Cutter OAK R 14 86.4 29.9 -0.4 3.8GLV 0.2 6.9 -1.4 3.8GLV 1.1
2024 Sinker OAK R 80 90.8 20.8 -4.2 15.3ARM 0.5 12.6 -5.4 15.3ARM 0.4
2024 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 1039 92.4 15.6 0.2 9.6ARM 2.3 16.6 0.9 9.6ARM 2.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball -4.9 -4 79 54.1 23 .353 1.000 .561 21.1 13.0 17.6 .249 .643 .432 40.0
2025 Slider -6.8 -2 24 16.4 6 .500 1.167 .692 18.2 16.7 33.3 .385 .747 .478 40.0
2025 Sweeper -10.3 -2 22 15.1 9 .500 .667 .494 22.2 11.1 20.0 .339 .462 .419 33.3
2025 Sinker -3.6 0 11 7.5 3 .667 .667 .600 0.0 0.0 -- .546 .624 .516 33.3
2025 Changeup -3.4 0 10 6.8 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 0.0 .571 .689 .532 0.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 1 1,039 51.3 247 .256 .471 .339 17.6 13.0 10.6 .263 .523 .361 47.9
2024 Sweeper 0.8 3 396 19.5 123 .217 .367 .262 21.6 25.2 17.6 .164 .268 .198 20.0
2024 Slider -0.7 -2 276 13.6 94 .261 .435 .298 22.3 24.5 16.4 .260 .427 .299 41.4
2024 Changeup -3.1 -7 222 11.0 46 .357 .738 .500 20.8 13.0 16.7 .342 .650 .446 44.4
2024 Sinker -1.9 -2 80 3.9 30 .273 .545 .470 12.2 0.0 0.0 .234 .417 .393 27.3
2024 Cutter -11.4 -2 14 0.7 2 1.000 2.500 1.450 14.3 0.0 0.0 .513 1.291 .752 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 4-Seam Fastball 77 90.7 92 16.6 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Sinker 11 89.7 92 19.4 1:00 1:45 -45
2025 Slider 24 82.3 34 6.7 10:30 9:15 75
2025 Sweeper 22 76.9 49 17.0 8:30 9:15 -45
2024 Changeup 222 84.8 99 17.1 1:45 2:15 -30
2024 Cutter 14 86.4 39 7.1 11:45 10:45 60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1,037 92.4 92 18.8 1:15 1:00 15
2024 Sinker 80 90.8 92 19.8 1:15 1:45 -30
2024 Slider 274 81.7 36 6.9 9:00 8:30 30
2024 Sweeper 394 78.2 53 17.2 8:45 9:30 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 46 165 0 -1 -1 -2 -3
2024 542 2,027 10 3 -14 -5 -8
2025 42 146 -1 -5 -2 -1 -8
Player 630 2,338 9 -4 -18 9 -19
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 165 51.5 70.6 78.3 33.8 55.6 46.7 59.6 52.7 28.7 6.1 80.0
2024 2,027 56.1 75.6 84.5 29.8 66.4 44.7 66.4 55.5 19.2 9.7 88.3
2025 146 47.3 75.4 84.6 23.4 77.8 41.8 50.0 47.9 17.1 8.9 92.3
Player 2,338 55.3 75.2 84.2 29.6 66.1 44.7 64.8 54.8 19.7 9.4 88.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.7 42.6 61.1 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 34 72 18
2024 28 39 9 3 69 8 14 30 41 8 92 6 62 24 78 15
2025 8 62 20
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 24.48 4 3.1 1 0 2 2 50.0
2024 23.81 23 26.0 -3 10 19 11 47.8
2025 21.26 4 2.0 2 1 4 0 0.0
Player 23.56 31 31.1 0 11 25 13 41.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 4 2 3 4 4 3 4 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 2 3 4 3 3 4 4 3 2 3 3 3 2 2
2024 23 22 22 28 28 27 31 26 25 21 26 31 24 21 29 23 23 23 25 33 23 23 35 29 21 25 25 31 26 27 26
2025 4 2 1 2 2 3 2 0 1 1 1 4 3 4 2 1 2 1 0 4 0 2 4 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 2
Player 31 26 26 34 34 33 37 29 29 24 30 38 30 28 35 28 29 26 28 41 26 28 43 34 26 29 30 37 32 33 30
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 +/-   2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 92.0 0.2 92.2 -1.6 90.6
Offspeed Velocity 86.2 -1.4 84.8 -1.2 83.6
Breaking Velocity 79.4 0.2 79.6 0.1 79.7
Exit Velocity 91.4 -1.9 89.5 -0.3 89.2
Launch Angle 25.1 0.3 25.4 -1.0 24.4
Barrel % 17.1 -7.4 9.7 7.0 16.7
Hard Hit % 45.7 -6.1 39.6 -2.9 36.7
LA Sweet-Spot % 34.3 2.9 37.2 12.8 50.0
xBA .281 -0.036 .245 0.082 .327
BA .286 -0.027 .259 0.196 .455
xwOBA .411 -0.087 .324 0.120 .444
wOBA .414 -0.081 .333 0.251 .584
xSLG .642 -0.189 .453 0.176 .629
SLG .643 -0.170 .473 0.466 .939
K% 14.9 2.0 16.9 -5.0 11.9
BB% 4.3 0.7 5.0 9.3 14.3
Swing % 52.7 2.8 55.5 -7.6 47.9
Whiff% 28.7 -9.5 19.2 -2.1 17.1
In Zone % 51.5 4.6 56.1 -8.8 47.3
Out of Zone % 48.5 -4.6 43.9 8.8 52.7
Out of Zone Swing % 33.8 -4.0 29.8 -6.4 23.4
First Pitch Swing % 36.2 3.1 39.3 -3.6 35.7
First Pitch Strike % 59.6 6.8 66.4 -16.4 50.0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 46 .414 21 0 0.0 25 17 68.0
2024 Shades 542 .333 291 11 3.8 251 181 72.1
2025 Shades 42 .584 23 0 0.0 19 15 78.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 36 15.5 36.1% 0.0% 27 20.0 0.0% 0.0%
2024 515 15.0 48.7% 0.0% 285 18.2 4.2% 0.7%
2025 34 13.2 73.5% 0.0% 27 17.4 3.7% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution



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